Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.004219 0.004742 0.005333 0.006055 0.006921 0.007938 0.009236
2025-12-28 0.003605 0.004301 0.005159 0.006313 0.007864 0.009932 0.013001
2026-01-04 0.003186 0.003951 0.004949 0.006388 0.008487 0.011578 0.016780
2026-01-11 0.002852 0.003639 0.004709 0.006335 0.008867 0.012917 0.020542
2026-01-18 0.002618 0.003420 0.004552 0.006349 0.009319 0.014451 0.025251
2026-01-25 0.002391 0.003179 0.004324 0.006207 0.009472 0.015495 0.029483
2026-02-01 0.002173 0.002929 0.004049 0.005945 0.009358 0.015994 0.032762
2026-02-08 0.001986 0.002708 0.003796 0.005680 0.009182 0.016320 0.035801
2026-02-15 0.001896 0.002622 0.003743 0.005745 0.009632 0.018085 0.043918
2026-02-22 0.001781 0.002490 0.003602 0.005633 0.009711 0.019040 0.050327
2026-03-01 0.001670 0.002355 0.003445 0.005474 0.009664 0.019677 0.056220
2026-03-08 0.001578 0.002244 0.003317 0.005353 0.009675 0.020472 0.063553
2026-03-15 0.001529 0.002204 0.003317 0.005495 0.010343 0.023442 0.085294
2026-03-22 0.001496 0.002189 0.003358 0.005727 0.011291 0.027787 0.124849
2026-03-29 0.001441 0.002132 0.003321 0.005793 0.011853 0.031258 0.171221
2026-04-05 0.001376 0.002054 0.003236 0.005746 0.012116 0.033855 0.222842
2026-04-12 0.001325 0.001995 0.003181 0.005759 0.012543 0.037418 0.310228
2026-04-19 0.001261 0.001910 0.003072 0.005635 0.012560 0.039296 0.392769
2026-04-26 0.001189 0.001809 0.002924 0.005406 0.012219 0.039388 0.446804
2026-05-03 0.001123 0.001713 0.002780 0.005173 0.011830 0.039097 0.496242
2026-05-10 0.001094 0.001682 0.002761 0.005230 0.012351 0.043841 0.797206
2026-05-17 0.001050 0.001622 0.002680 0.005132 0.012359 0.045881 1.083434
2026-05-24 0.001005 0.001558 0.002586 0.004993 0.012204 0.046916 1.392309